Game Theory: Did Dream FAKE His Speedrun? A Final Analysis.


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There has been a controversy brewing on the Minecraft side of CNboth centered around well known Minecraft creator Dream. He's been accused of faking his speedrun and it has caused a lot of stir. I'm not here to point fingers or accuse anyone. What I'm doing today, Theorists, is going over the facts of this situation and why it is a lot more complicated than people are making it out to be.
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#Dream #DreamSpeedrun #Speedrun #DreamSMP #Minecraft #MinecraftTheory #MinecraftLore #MinecraftUpdate #MatPat #Theory #GameTheory
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Writers: Matthew Patrick and Justin Kuiper
Editors: Dan "Cybert" Seibert, Alex "Sedge" Sedgwick, Forrest Lee, Tyler Mascola, and Koen Verhagen
Assistant Editor: AlyssaBeCrazy
Sound Editor: Yosi Berman


  • Dragon2008Gamer
    Dragon2008Gamer2 小时 前

    Not Minecraft one dood onesix Minecraft one dood sixteen!

  • Reaper Z
    Reaper Z2 小时 前

    So many people are saying: "Oh but it's IMPOSSIBLE to prove that dream 100% cheated! And thus I believe that he didn't!" In the comment section, as if this is the conclusion that MatPat concluded. Dude, with that kind of argument, people can say "I got struck by lightning 100x in a row and survived, and since you can't 100% proove that I cheated, it clearly means that I didn't". It's heavily flawed logic, it's really just objectively wrong.

  • Nightcloud36
    Nightcloud362 小时 前

    I gotta admit, I absolutely love Dream and I can admit that he probably did cheat though I nervous about saying I like him because everyone is just going to say I'm a Dream stan. I'm not, I like him for everything else he does that doesn't correspond with his speed runs. It's messed up that he didn't admit to cheating if he did (which is quite likely) but everyone has done at least one stupid thing and not admitted to it. Why can't we appreciate the other things he does instead like the SMP? I'm just not going to watch his speed runs but I'll watch his other things. Dream is a great youtuber and he shouldn't be defined by this flaw- Just my thoughts, everyone is entitled to their own opinions! ^^

  • HhsduOP
    HhsduOP2 小时 前

    Matpat got 8th on trending noice

  • bruh
    bruh2 小时 前

    My kemistry teacher is really good

  • Nathan Le
    Nathan Le2 小时 前

    So did dream cheat ?

  • Danielle Scorgie
    Danielle Scorgie2 小时 前

    If people want to run the category, they can. "This category is bad." is a weird conclusion.

  • Itsuki Cheng
    Itsuki Cheng2 小时 前

    If everyone had the same seed to do during the same tournament it would be good that’s what Rubik’s cube tournaments do

  • Nightmare
    Nightmare2 小时 前

    I honestly don’t care if he cheated or not. I’m sick of the drama. It’s so annoying.

  • MUTANT15
    MUTANT152 小时 前

    I have a question that still in my head, what about the top three or five players that are better then dreams speedrun how come no one talks about them and they only blame dream and even analyze if his speedrun is not cheating instead of the top 1 player? Edit: hope you can answer this matpat if not who will, Im not saying the top players are cheating, im saying why they where never talked about.

  • Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW

    Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW

    2 小时 前

    they are not talked about becuse they did not cheat, dream was not talked about (in seans of speadrunning) becuse he did not cheat

  • gami boss
    gami boss2 小时 前

    Hey matpat what is Multy player in minecraft? Is it the time before the wither or is it the future. A future where Steve dint fight the ender dragon and make a family?

  • Cody Crew
    Cody Crew2 小时 前

    Flipping a coin ten times and getting 7+ heads

  • InstantBrainwave
    InstantBrainwave2 小时 前

    Thanks for creating such great video and they are amazing and wonderful. I love the brainwave music and hope more people can enjoy it too.

  • tina and Elly
    tina and Elly2 小时 前

    So post teen mean and adopt me yes Roblox adopt me Roblox is a game but matpat keeps talking about everything else ;-;

  • LodanSD
    LodanSD2 小时 前

    If you look at Speedruns for Zelda Wind Waker, you would notice that people have figured out how to assess certain values in order to guarantee a specific result for Rupee Drops, maybe he's figured out the proper dance to bend NPCs to his will

  • Zi Xiong
    Zi Xiong2 小时 前

    did dream cheat? mat: well let's talk about the purpose and meaning of speedrunning.

  • Anthony Valencia
    Anthony Valencia2 小时 前

    *roasts yt trending tab* *is #2 on yt trending tab*

  • Valmerix


    2 小时 前

    might wanna change ur picture

  • ReflexivoArco
    ReflexivoArco2 小时 前

    Who say ,, Minecraft one point one six'' instead ,,Minecraft one sixteen''?

  • BeepDuck
    BeepDuck2 小时 前

    idk about the quiz thing, because in the first one there only needs to be 2 abnormalities (outside of expected results) whereas in the second there needs to be 10, but it is a lot less likely to get perfect normalities in the second one because it is one number out of 100 possibilities. This is probably all wrong cos i know nothing about probability but i’m just writing my thought process.

  • BeepDuck


    2 小时 前

    i was almost right

  • ichi1082
    ichi10822 小时 前

    I'm so sorry I have to say it like that but your take towards the end is the worst you could possibly have. The category exists because the community wants it to exist, people run it. No one is forcing Dream to run a category he perceives as broken and instead of cheating he could have just chosen to, uhm, I don't know.. just not run it?

  • Ivy Oh
    Ivy Oh2 小时 前

    Dream Minecraft; will this finally be the milkable topic to replace the endless stream of fnaf game theory videos? Lol probably not.

  • Brown Magic
    Brown Magic2 小时 前

    So what i got from this is at the end of the day math and statistics can really only give a "its very unlikely, but not impossible" type of answer to things

  • MelecieDiancie
    MelecieDiancie2 小时 前

    what i came for: info that may make dream innocent what i learned: celeste room randomizer should be a speedrun

  • MelecieDiancie


    2 小时 前

    @levi Ackerman i do know that, i've seen the responses of the mod team, dream, ant, karl, mfb, and this and reasons why dream cheated heavily outweigh the counterresponses. i'm just here to see if there would be arguments for dream and any counterresponses to those, as i like to take both sides' arguments

  • levi Ackerman

    levi Ackerman

    2 小时 前

    Dream cheated face it the guy dream hired told that the drop rates were modified intentionally​ or unintentionally

  • Thanos
    Thanos2 小时 前

    Analysis but the ysis is silent

  • Honey_ tea
    Honey_ tea2 小时 前

    18:52 who else thought that the blue side is bigger then the red side???

  • Johann Alyosha Van Tassel
    Johann Alyosha Van Tassel2 小时 前

    everyone: wants to know if dream cheated matpat: *heres a document preparation software called Latex*

  • Ian Michael
    Ian Michael2 小时 前

    23:30 seconds to not answer the question and say Minecraft shouldn’t have a record board for speed running. Yes the record board made him cheat

  • Cryptic Corgi
    Cryptic Corgi2 小时 前

    8:20 *_It is the first option is more likely._* Being correct _7 out of 10_ times is *7/10.* But _60 out of 100_ is *6/10.*

  • ichigo kurosaki
    ichigo kurosaki2 小时 前

    Listen the king's sacrifice is the best chess move in the history of humanity No one care about dream cheating

  • Jack Of Astora
    Jack Of Astora2 小时 前

    Actual answer: Yes The answer we got: And that’s why tf2 is a bad game. Wait what video is this again?

  • Arbiter
    Arbiter2 小时 前


  • Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW

    Soviet Doge- So Soviet So Communist So WoW

    2 小时 前

    yes dream cheated

  • Crypter Coder
    Crypter Coder2 小时 前

    Matpat could you do a video about the scps

  • Vocaloid Flower Girl 2000
    Vocaloid Flower Girl 20002 小时 前

    Okay random statement but robert do be sounding like Saiki K and kyo ifykyk

  • Khawar Parvez
    Khawar Parvez2 小时 前

    So did he cheat?

  • Elliot Manley
    Elliot Manley2 小时 前

    Jewelry me ñø

  • Jaguario
    Jaguario2 小时 前

    as a speedrunner myself, i have no problem with a speedrun being based around luck. Many games have to be speedrun that way and still are. Peoplespeedrun those games because they enjoy it and there's no point contesting the way that games are speedrun if people enjoy it. but that competitive speedrunning thing would be really cool

  • Jose Pio
    Jose Pio2 小时 前

    how did he predict it would go to the CNboth trending tab he is a wizard

  • Honey_ tea
    Honey_ tea2 小时 前

    8:20 ide say the first option becouse when you flip a coin 10 times to get heads in 7 times is like flipping a coin 100 times to get 70 heads there is no differences in there the only difference is that the second option is more specific

  • stephane pasquer
    stephane pasquer2 小时 前


  • Orange Sl1me
    Orange Sl1me2 小时 前

    My answer for the question around 8:30 is that neither of them are more likely, their both 50/50 because no matter how many times you flip a coin the outcome come will always be either heads or tails. Thank you for listening to my ted talk. Edit: I just realised what the question was......

  • Sean French
    Sean French2 小时 前

    60 heads

  • Callan Wesson
    Callan Wesson2 小时 前


  • Razgy Mic
    Razgy Mic2 小时 前

    The amount of work in this video is insane

  • DS .V
    DS .V2 小时 前

    Mr beast is buying the whole store in the background lol

  • jose Homshaw
    jose Homshaw2 小时 前


    DERPY DUDE2 小时 前

    9:55 #4 on trending *face palms*

  • ehehehrhehr no
    ehehehrhehr no2 小时 前

    matpat makes fun of yt trending page matpat ends up on trending

  • Natlibuz
    Natlibuz2 小时 前

  • lil zerkso
    lil zerkso2 小时 前

    All your videos makes me think hard and am intrigued

  • MainZ
    MainZ2 小时 前

    This video is on the CNboth trending tab 😂

  • InfoBlues
    InfoBlues2 小时 前

    I will save you 23 minutes: You dont get the answer in this video.......he rather talks about how minecraft 1.16 speedrunning is broken

  • 31-Rishit Jain
    31-Rishit Jain2 小时 前

    I will save you 23 minutes: You dont get the answer in this video.......he rather talks about how minecraft 1.16 speedrunning is broken

  • Dosant
    Dosant2 小时 前

    This is your most lazy video yet Mat, you literally didnt add anything or answer the question in YOUR TITLE OF THE VIDEO. Disappointing.

  • Ragib Nihal Tonmoy
    Ragib Nihal Tonmoy2 小时 前

  • ZeGamerWolf
    ZeGamerWolf2 小时 前

    Where is the last Petscop theory???????

  • Eagle Power
    Eagle Power2 小时 前

    so dream is just some luck god, okay.

  • DonutLover Gaming
    DonutLover Gaming3 小时 前

    I would like my own minecraft speedrunner monkey

  • Clarissa M
    Clarissa M3 小时 前

    I love the conclusion.

  • CandyPop
    CandyPop3 小时 前

    My question is WHY would they make speedrunning a big competition? Like it’s just gonna start drama (for example: the Dream drama) AND who cares! Speedrunning should be made for fun! Not something that should be taken very seriously! It’s like a middle school gym sport fight of “OH BRUHHH WE COULD HAVE WON!!!” “BRUHHH THEY CHEATED” “BRUHHH YOU SUCK” Like- Dudes- Chill- Please-

  • CandyPop


    2 小时 前

    @yunus ahmet yılmaz ohhh! Oh nonononono I was talking to the people who make speedrunning a big competitive thing like middle schoolers in gym fighting. My apologies, misread that. Speedrunning actually looks fun to do! It’s just I don’t like that people would make such a big deal over it (And cause drama) (Also it’s 6:55 am for me and I haven’t slept AT ALL yea again my apologies)

  • yunus ahmet yılmaz

    yunus ahmet yılmaz

    2 小时 前

    @CandyPop you didn't just say what you tought about speedrunnig you spat on people who speedrun because your fetus head can't understand their motivations

  • CandyPop


    2 小时 前

    @yunus ahmet yılmaz wow can I not say what I just think about the speedrunning situation? Wow I’m so hurt •- •

  • yunus ahmet yılmaz

    yunus ahmet yılmaz

    3 小时 前

    Why would they make marathon competitive either its like just swim for fun no need for competitive smh.... This is how you sound

  • LoZTwilight
    LoZTwilight3 小时 前

    Well that was an utter waste of time, how did this get 238k likes. it's beating around the bush for 75% of the video..

  • Don RUBIX
    Don RUBIX3 小时 前

    Buuuh Dream 🤮🤮 im 1 mllion times better than him at Minecraft ‼️🤌

  • Frack YT
    Frack YT3 小时 前

  • TheHockyeBox
    TheHockyeBox3 小时 前

    I know this is a pointless detail but you should express percent numbers as rounded up and not just show the first two decimal places, the probability of getting >51% heads with 10000 tosses is sum k=0 to 4900 (10000 choose 5100+k) * 2^(-10000) = 0.0232928 otherwise good video

  • • Violet Dumplings •
    • Violet Dumplings •3 小时 前

    It really did get on the CNboth trending tab- damn.

  • Patricks
    Patricks3 小时 前

    do a genshin impact theory

  • Clint McGill
    Clint McGill3 小时 前

    I can hear one of my cs professors saving "it's not pronounced the same as latex the material..."

  • Queen Pendragon
    Queen Pendragon3 小时 前

    Fantastic editing as usual! Lol also thanks for the math lesson, Mat, I don't know that I needed it or that it'll stick, but for the moment I feel smarter!

  • Dorian Dias
    Dorian Dias3 小时 前

    Lol it did end up on the CNboth trending page

  • Jatin sehrawat
    Jatin sehrawat3 小时 前

    the thing that there were chances of it being in 1 in a 7.5 trillion but it was still feasible... and thats maths you can't connect everything with statics 7.5 trillion is just a small number when you see it in terms of how many seed are possible.. if there are broken seed possible in quadrillions and people still found them..that conditon of ender pearls and blaze rods is feasible... conclusion on my terms: even if it was 1 in a 7.5 trillion it was feasible and running 7.5 trillion simulations don't actually mean that this will happen in those 7.5 trillion because we dont have a exaact number to count from which these possibilities are possible... they made him suspect and run numbers on him... and their evidence didn't have a concrete truth it was just mere possibilities.. they didn't searched his minecraft coda... and on based on possibilities it can't be verified that he cheated.. i mean my existence in 1 in 8.9 billion but i still exist :D.. take it like that and that is for every single of person on this planet so 8.9 billion powered by 8.9 billion thats a quite large number and we still exist as a indvidual... simple high school maths.. i don't know if he cheated or not but idk it dont seem like he did

  • yunus ahmet yılmaz

    yunus ahmet yılmaz

    2 小时 前

    Yo stop copy pasting this on random videos. It's honestly pathetic especially considering how stupid this comment is You are sooo misinformed it isnt even funny. His chances aren't 1 in 7.5 trillion it is 1 in 20 sextillion. 1 in 7.5 trillion is the chances of Amy speedrunner ever getting as lucky as dream after accounting for biases. Secondly the chances of you being here being 8.6 billion is meaningless because the reason that number is high is completely different from this. For example winning the lottery is a very low chance but no matter what someone will win the lottery. The 8.6 billion is the nearly same as this.

  • Crazycuko187
    Crazycuko1873 小时 前

    He means yes... I think..

  • {•ShadøwZ•}
    {•ShadøwZ•}3 小时 前


  • Just some steering wheel
    Just some steering wheel3 小时 前

    Did dream cheat? Yes Now you don't have to watch the video which doesn't actually give you the answer

  • Leon Almond
    Leon Almond3 小时 前

    No he didn’t there ya go

  • Magnogen
    Magnogen3 小时 前


  • tp .y.
    tp .y.3 小时 前

    please do a game theory episode on omori!

  • Berislav Furač
    Berislav Furač3 小时 前


  • xeniabruh
    xeniabruh3 小时 前


  • Ealvarez Gaming
    Ealvarez Gaming3 小时 前

    Dude why you gotta clickbait like that?

  • Travis Sadler
    Travis Sadler3 小时 前

    South African Lotto ticket :O

  • Shrt Mato_99
    Shrt Mato_993 小时 前

    Number 1 trending lmao

  • Michael E
    Michael E3 小时 前

    I mean 7

  • username not found
    username not found3 小时 前

    Don’t waste your time he doesn’t answer the question

  • Michael E
    Michael E3 小时 前

    I meant to say 70

  • G M P
    G M P3 小时 前

    Imagine spitting on an entire community just to try save the image of one individual. How much did Dream pay?

  • What A Weirdo

    What A Weirdo

    2 小时 前

    @G M P fair enough tbh, also I stg I'm not a stan

  • G M P

    G M P

    2 小时 前

    @What A Weirdo I agree that I said the pay part just for the purposes of spicing up the comment

  • What A Weirdo

    What A Weirdo

    2 小时 前

    Imagine not looking at odds, I mean, hes just trying to explain his theory. Maybe he shouldn't have shat on speed running, but you really think that dream played him to say ehh, why speedrun?

  • Yuki Mizuki
    Yuki Mizuki3 小时 前

    No offense, mediocre content, overly edited, poorly made, click baited and you barely went over anything

  • JamesPlayz
    JamesPlayz3 小时 前

  • Simon Tracer
    Simon Tracer3 小时 前

    It's ironic that with a smaller amount of times tried the numbers seem to go more probable. And I honestly missed the point if he said definitive yes he did cheat or no he did not. It seems pretty much like he said dreams luck could have been just a happenstance that was misunderstood and overreacted to. But seriously how many of those speed runs or how many Potter trades have people actually witnessed besides dreams. How lucky is as when you honestly push the numbers up on the barter trades you are guaranteed to get Pearl at some point and to the game it doesn't matter when that point is so it could just as much give you something good or not. Fun fact in Mario Bros speed run the time that you end the course on could activate a very specific end-of-level fireworks display or if you were slightly slower you would not activate that fireworks and move ahead faster. That is a built-in highly unrecognizable jump in speed unless you're looking for it.

  • Happy Thoughts
    Happy Thoughts3 小时 前

    Milking this aren't you. We need less of people like you around

  • DJ Ling
    DJ Ling3 小时 前

    Imma be honest, cheater or not, IT'S SIMPLE ENTERTAINMENT.

  • SniffersMc
    SniffersMc3 小时 前

    Finally, knowledge of latex is usefull for something other than writing a CV

  • Josh Taylor
    Josh Taylor3 小时 前

    he really do be milkin it

  • Billy 1
    Billy 13 小时 前

    I think we all need to go outside

  • CatGoneMad!
    CatGoneMad!3 小时 前

    Lol it ended up on 4 trending

  • Sceonaid Dover
    Sceonaid Dover3 小时 前

    Click bait

  • Robotboy 64x

    Robotboy 64x

    3 小时 前

    Misleading, but clickbait? Ehhhh.... I dunno.

  • firenox GD

    firenox GD

    3 小时 前


  • Masterblader158
    Masterblader1583 小时 前

    Given CNboth sets what's trending, or at least moderates it, it's no surprise that a video that mocks being on it got put on it. Good as it may force the part 2 where he actually answers the question... But Matpat has left some part 2's on the burner for years.

  • Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti
    Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti3 小时 前

    I got 11 ender pearls and i gave it 1 gold but 🍑 i beleave you

  • Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti

    Muhammad Abdullah Bhatti

    2 小时 前

    @levi Ackerman idk but it happened

  • levi Ackerman

    levi Ackerman

    2 小时 前

    stop lying an 2-4 enderpearl can only be obtained in one bartering

  • Bruno Blake
    Bruno Blake3 小时 前

    it actually is on the trending page lol

  • Umar Amin lone BBA-29
    Umar Amin lone BBA-293 小时 前

    Son you know nothing about regression

  • Degee Paul Sericon
    Degee Paul Sericon3 小时 前

    The theorist is not real :0

  • allison moya
    allison moya3 小时 前

    Bed recognize desperate explain stretch vehicle fifteen everyone repair.